Navigating Liquidity Constraints: Assessing Bank Resilience to Deposit Volatility during Contractionary Monetary Policy Phases
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.70076/simj.v3i2.195Keywords:
Deposit Volatility, BI Rate, CAR, NPL, Firm Size, Bank Liquidity, BR_LDRAbstract
This study examines the effects of Deposit Volatility (DVOL), the BI Rate, Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR), Non-Performing Loans (NPL), and Firm Size on bank liquidity, proxied by the Banking Ratio Loan-to-Deposit Ratio (BR_LDR), in Indonesian state-owned banks (HIMBARA) listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange during 2021–2024. A quantitative approach was employed using secondary data collected from the annual reports of PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk, PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk, PT Bank Negara Indonesia (Persero) Tbk, and PT Bank Tabungan Negara (Persero) Tbk. Panel data regression analysis was conducted using EViews, with the Fixed Effect Model (FEM) selected based on the Chow test. The results indicate that the BI Rate and Firm Size significantly influence BR_LDR at the 10% significance level, whereas Deposit Volatility, CAR, and NPL have no significant effect. The F-test shows that the independent variables jointly have a significant effect on BR_LDR. The coefficient of determination (R²) of 35.2% indicates that the model moderately explains variations in bank liquidity, while the remaining variation is attributable to other internal and external factors. These findings provide insights for banks in strengthening liquidity management and offer a reference for future studies on banking liquidity.
References
Altavilla, C. et al. (2025) ‘Central bank liquidity reallocation and bank lending: Evidence from the tiering system’, Journal of Financial Economics, 168, p. 104058. Available at: https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2025.104058.
Bahaj, S. and Malherbe, F. (2024) ‘The cross-border effects of bank capital regulation’, Journal of Financial Economics, 160, p. 103912. Available at: https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2024.103912.
Begenau, J. (2020) ‘Capital requirements, risk choice, and liquidity provision in a business-cycle model’, Journal of Financial Economics, 136(2), pp. 355–378. Available at: https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2019.10.004.
Braggion, F. et al. (2025) ‘The value of financial intermediation: Evidence from online debt crowdfunding’, Journal of Financial Economics, 172, p. 104113. Available at: https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2025.104113.
Chen, Z., He, Z. and Liu, C. (2020) ‘The financing of local government in China: Stimulus loan wanes and shadow banking waxes’, Journal of Financial Economics, 137(1), pp. 42–71. Available at: https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2019.07.009.
Cornett, M.M. et al. (2011) ‘Liquidity risk management and credit supply in the financial crisis’, Journal of Financial Economics, 101(2), pp. 297–312. Available at: https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2011.03.001.
Craig, B. and Ma, Y. (2022) ‘Intermediation in the interbank lending market’, Journal of Financial Economics, 145(2, Part A), pp. 179–207. Available at: https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.11.003.
Davydiuk, T., Marchuk, T. and Rosen, S. (2024) ‘Direct lenders in the U.S. middle market’, Journal of Financial Economics, 162, p. 103946. Available at: https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2024.103946.
Evans, R.B. et al. (2026) ‘Operational shorting and ETF liquidity provision’, Journal of Financial Economics, 180, p. 104241. Available at: https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2026.104241.
Feghali, K., Mora, N. and Nassif, P. (2021) ‘Financial inclusion, bank market structure, and financial stability: International evidence’, The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 80, pp. 236–257. Available at: https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.qref.2021.01.007.
Huang, W. et al. (2025) ‘Constrained liquidity provision in currency markets’, Journal of Financial Economics, 167, p. 104028. Available at: https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2025.104028.
Jiao, F., Sarkissian, S. and Schumacher, D. (2025) ‘Liquidity picking and fund performance’, Journal of Financial Economics, 170, p. 104085. Available at: https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2025.104085.
Sundaresan, S. and Xiao, K. (2024) ‘Liquidity regulation and banks: Theory and evidence’, Journal of Financial Economics, 151, p. 103747. Available at: https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2023.103747.
Acharya, V.; Naqvi, H. The seeds of a crisis: A theory of bank liquidity and risk taking over the business cycle. J. Financ. Econ. 2012, 106, 349–366.
Sugiyono. Metode Penelitian Pendidikan (Pendekatan Kuantitatif, Kualitatif dan R&D); Alfabeta: Bandung, Indonesia, 2013.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Smart International Management Journal

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.


